Breakout Entries Primed for UK GDP Release
The
Gross Domestic Product
growth rate of a country is another highly anticipated event on the economic calendar such as
Non-Farm Payrolls
. GDP growth looks specifically at changes in growth patterns by adding household consumption, government spending, domestic investment’s, and net exports for a country. As growth increases it is assumed there will be a high demand for a nation’s currency. This is due to the likelihood of inflationary pressures in the market place, with
central banks
looking to potentially change
monetary policy
due to these results.
As the most important growth figure for a nation, GDP is tracked on a nation by nation basis. The next GDP announcement for the UK is set to take place next Wednesday March 28th at 4:30am New York time. As with any news event, numbers released outside of the predicted values can bring volatility and increase the likely hood of a breakout. This month
GBP
GDP (QoQ) is expected to be released at -.2%. Expectations are already set for negative growth; any further decline could cause a severe reaction on the British Pound.
Below we can view the current 4Hour chart of the
GBP/USD
. A triangle patter is forming by connecting highs starting with the February 29th high at 1.5991. Ascending support is created by connecting a series of wicks beginning with the March 12th low at 1.5601. Expecting
active markets
around the timing of the news event, we can begin planning for a breakout. Entries can be set below for support in expectations of
prices
moving lower on bad GDP data. Conversely, GBP/
USD
bulls can place orders above resistance in the event of better than expected data.
My preference is to set entries to sell the GBP/USD under 1.5800. Stops should be placed above resistance near 1.5865. Limits should first target 1.5680 for a clear 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Secondary targets can be placed under 1.5600 on an extension of downward momentum.
—Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor
To contact Walker, email
. Follow me on Twitter at @WEnglandFX.
To be added to Walker’s e-mail distribution list, send an email with the subject line “Distribution List” to [email protected].
provides
forex news
on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market. Learn
currency trading
with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.
